Mactheriverrat
3,172 posts
msg #132308
- Ignore Mactheriverrat |
11/2/2016 12:38:24 PM
The media is obsessed will polls and they go over them so much that everyone acts like their gospel . Anyone remember the Brexit polls and what the vote turned out to be. All and any polls said that UK would vote to stay in the EU. Then the vote turned out to be that UK voted to leave the EU. The media plays a big part in getting people to go along with the polls. Most polls interview less that 1000 people. Now how in the heck can one really say how people will vote.
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shillllihs
6,090 posts
msg #132309
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
11/2/2016 1:23:13 PM
Whatever the Cubs do, Trump will do. In Back to the future, the Cubs win & Biff wins.
Biff is Trump.
Predictive programming by the elite, so are they right, or will they do the opposite?
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pthomas215
1,251 posts
msg #132310
- Ignore pthomas215 |
11/2/2016 1:25:50 PM
Trump absolutely has a chance. and the markets are sensing it. I think Allan Lictman's model has worked in the past and will work this year. For analytical nerds like me, his model looks at 13 elements and he has predicted 30 years of elections accurately. He has doubled down on Trump.
https://pollyvote.com/en/components/index-models/keys-to-the-white-house/
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shillllihs
6,090 posts
msg #132314
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
11/2/2016 2:35:47 PM
Airmont,
VIX DONKEY PUNCH is just a hobby, I would not follow it if I were you.
It was up 205% a few days ago before taking a hit from Ugaz. Up 120% now.
I really don't have any idea what's happening right now. You see, I'm just a real estate tycoon.
If you want a real trader, follow Kevin.
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johnpaulca
12,036 posts
msg #132315
- Ignore johnpaulca |
11/2/2016 2:50:21 PM
Slovaki....is a Tycoon....lol. I saw his house using google earth and he's no tycoon, I do wish him well. I was just bugging him so he doesn't give the newbies false hope....trading is a difficult endeavour and takes years of trading to be become somewhat proficient at it.
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #132316
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
11/2/2016 3:03:02 PM
I am still learning the value of restraint. Between now and the election will be as challenging a time to trade as anything. Taking any new positions now is a crap shoot - you'd better have an edge you can count on.
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shillllihs
6,090 posts
msg #132319
- Ignore shillllihs |
11/2/2016 3:25:26 PM
When you're running hot in the market, you feel invincible, but times like these can be confusing.
I was smart enough to get into property early, bought my house for 320k & with the updates I made,
I can sell it for 800k. Could afford twice the house but I don't use loans & my goal is income. Every property I own has tripled in value. I have 17 rentals in il. Fl. & Europe, & im buying foreclosures when I can, though they are hard to find now, so this is just a small hobby just to keep my old mind busy.
In fact, I may be going back to Greece to look into some Villas by the sea which are selling for 5-20k!
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shillllihs
6,090 posts
msg #132320
- Ignore shillllihs |
11/2/2016 3:37:00 PM
Thinking Dust could be a runner.
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pthomas215
1,251 posts
msg #132321
- Ignore pthomas215 |
11/2/2016 3:37:07 PM
Kevin, you always post stuff that seems to be exactly what Im going through at the time..thank you. It helps to know I am not alone !!
""still learning the value of restraint"...been doing it all day
"I should have gotten out in pre market but kept it all day and now selling with much less profit"
"Ive been looking for a great entry point on Oil all day and couldnt get in where I was comfortable"
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shillllihs
6,090 posts
msg #132338
- Ignore shillllihs |
11/3/2016 12:20:46 PM
I've been long TVIX for days!!
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