Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #133228 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA modified |
12/14/2016 2:45:37 PM
In backwardation, does everything reverse? Will Xiv suffer and Tvix do well when Vix is down?
In the same way that contango acts as a drag on VXX, backwardation acts as a drag on XIV. However, backwardation in the VIX is relatively uncommon, happening only about 10% of the time over the last 5 years.
However, it does not necessarily mean that TVIX will do well if the VIX is down for a day, even in backwardation. Think of it more as a current that flows - contango is swimming upstream while backwardation is swimming downstream.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133234 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/14/2016 8:33:58 PM
I get backwardation, I was just saying would the same phenomenon of not tracking be the same in reverse.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133240 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/15/2016 5:50:20 AM
The answer PT, is DUST. I was going to say Dust but it just wouldn't of made sense. Let's see if this
is the preceding move before the big tank. If so, going to 90+.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133242 - Ignore pthomas215 |
12/15/2016 9:48:36 AM
ha exactly is the answer. the truth is I was looking at it but didnt think there would be a correlation between a market dip and DUST.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133244 - Ignore pthomas215 |
12/15/2016 10:37:51 AM
seeing some resistance with JDST hitting 50. If JDST blows past 50 today I will sit out. If 50 holds as resistance, will short it for a short swing trade.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133246 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/15/2016 12:25:45 PM
Entered dust for about 4% Will let it run. Could get burned but small position.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133247 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/15/2016 12:49:06 PM
Added to my Xiv position on dip.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133248 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/15/2016 12:54:06 PM
Play dust Jdst till first red candle after it pops above Acc bands(20)
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133256 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/16/2016 9:43:56 AM
Vxx eventually goes to 49.
Mark it in stone.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133260 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/16/2016 1:29:52 PM
Flawless exit from Xiv right into Tvix.
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