| StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Shills Swing N Daily | << 1 ... 278 279 280 281 282 ... 493 >>Post Follow-up |
| Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #134292 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
2/14/2017 2:55:54 PM Think better to be short Tvix than long Xiv with price above upper weekly ACC(21)). Any gains you made will be wiped out in moments when price goes to midline. At least short you have decay. Not sure I agree - your losses are amplified in TVIX since it is double leveraged. It sounds like you are concerned about sudden spikes in volatility, so why would you short TVIX versus just stay long XIV? The only reason would be to make more money when times are good, but that does not manage risk - that is just being greedy. |
| Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #134293 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
2/14/2017 3:04:38 PM Roll yield = F1/VIX spot Since futures are expiring tomorrow, let's jump ahead and look at the March futures as the front month: F1 = 12.65 ^VIX Spot = 11.03 So the roll yield is 14.7% with 36 days until expiration. Obviously with so much time on the clock, the roll yield does not really influence XIV until we are within the last week or so before expirations. |
| shillllihs 6,088 posts msg #134303 - Ignore shillllihs |
2/14/2017 7:29:28 PM Bought some HBI today. Value play...Nice... |
| shillllihs 6,088 posts msg #134330 - Ignore shillllihs |
2/15/2017 2:58:29 PM Both my value plays GILD & HBI are running. |
| shillllihs 6,088 posts msg #134344 - Ignore shillllihs |
2/16/2017 10:32:08 AM OH RED ALERT RED ALERT, TSUNAMI A COMETH hahaha |
| Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #134350 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
2/16/2017 12:28:55 PM I decided to take my XIV trade off the table at $65.00. The contango and roll yield were signaling to stay in, but the VIX contango had dropped below the VXV contango earlier this week, which is a warning signal. Had I heeded it on Monday I would have been out at the open on Tuesday at ~$70. My cost basis was $50.51, so this was a good time to take the money and wait for things to develop one way or the other. |
| shillllihs 6,088 posts msg #134353 - Ignore shillllihs |
2/16/2017 1:49:34 PM I'm all out of longs. I know it's time to bail when I get a tightening in my stomach and The Doors Unknown Soldier starts playing in my head. |
| four 5,087 posts msg #134383 - Ignore four modified |
2/17/2017 7:15:54 PM shillllihs 2,731 posts msg #134303 - Ignore shillllihs 2/14/2017 7:29:28 PM Bought some HBI today. Value play...Nice... --------------   |
| four 5,087 posts msg #134384 - Ignore four |
2/17/2017 7:44:48 PM Same filter (see above) Different CCI levels  |
| shillllihs 6,088 posts msg #134462 - Ignore shillllihs |
2/22/2017 10:13:50 AM In and out of DUST today for 460 bucks |
| StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Shills Swing N Daily | << 1 ... 278 279 280 281 282 ... 493 >>Post Follow-up |